Specific therapy is better than generic?

Getting positive results in a properly don trial of two active psychotherapies is hard, as the generic therapeutic effect is quite significant. There are ways of cheating, such as using wait list comparisons (who get nothing but a place for therapy) but such studies are needed. Read More

Risk of bias, immigration, and mood.

Do immigrants into a new nation have a greater risk of mood disorders. The standard approach has been to say that this is due to bias of measurement, or institutionalised racism. But minorities do have an increased risk of mood disorders: this may… Read More

Statistical Breakdown.

The preface to Matt Brigg's book is worth the price of the book alone: for these two quotes.
Bayes is not what you think. Hypothesis testing should immediately and forever be tossed into the scrapheap of intellectual history and certainly never tauht the vulnerable. The love of theory is the root of all evil
An… Read More

Die P value, Die.

This comment discusses William "Matt" Briggs new book, which is on order. One comment before this: such work is needed.
There is a book of this type every so often and the appeals apply to every field which does not do…
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How to write an abstract, not.

This paper is in JAMA psychiatry. It is the final and complete report of the Turnaway project, that followed women who had an abortion and those who were denied (I'm not sure how that happens in the land of Roe v Wade) an abortion. This is part of the… Read More

Why one should not admit all who self harm.

Every time there is a suicide there is a criticism that the person should have been admitted. The trouble is that the baseline rate of death, even in those who have made an attempt, is too low to predict. Bayes' Theorem suggests that, if the… Read More

Is this generation fragile or cosseted?

Yesterday I was having lunch with a colleague. We both do sessions in the psychiatric emergency room. And we are seeing young men, acutely suicidal, following rejection by a partner. We both reflected on our young years. We were rejected. We were… Read More